RotoRadar Sample Monday – May 22nd

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Here you will find brittinghamt’s article breaking down his daily insight into Slate Volume Variation, the RotoRadar Volume Meter (A gauge of how to bet on EVERY slate), Tom’s Take (Daily article outlining his favorite plays and a glimpse inside his mind of daily roster construction).

BrittinghamtOutlineMonday, May 22, 2017

9 MLB games – 7:05 pm ET (Main)


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My suggestion: Today is a Volume 4 on FanDuel, Volume 4 on DraftKings.

 


First thing we have to establish is that you are fully aware of the rules/scoring differences between FanDuel and DraftKings. Multi position eligibility can be found on DraftKings and it is not available on FanDuel. The number of roster spots is 9 on FanDuel and 10 on DraftKings. And there are scoring differences that must be factored into making lineup construction decisions:

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Stacks to Target Handiness of Stack to Target
Arizona Diamondbacks TEAM (LHBs 1st)
Chicago Cubs RHBs
Baltimore Orioles TEAM
Minnesota Twins LHBs
Cleveland Indians LHBs
Cincinnati Reds RHBs

 


Roster Building: The following are players in consideration for making the cash game lineup. As always, players can be added or removed from the list at any time due to a number of factors such as weather, lineup spot, not in lineup, etc. Also of note, players that are written up are not the only players in consideration, rather they are the players that make the initial consideration cut as standing out for an elite matchup, a good price point matchup, etc.


 

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Zack Greinke

Pitcher Team FD Salary DK Salary SIERA K% BB% Opponent Opening Line O-wOBA Opps. K% to pitcher handiness
Zack Greinke ARI $10,300 $12,000 3.82 22.30% 5.80% CWS -200 0.281 22.80%

 

Greinke opens as the overall biggest favorite of the slate at -200 in a home game against the Chicago White Sox. The righty is striking out 22.3% of batters and in 2016 allowed a .315 wOBA with 14 home runs in 89.1 innings to LHBs and a .323 wOBA with 9 home runs in 69.1 innings to RHBs. In 2017, Greinke is allowing a .274 wOBA with 4 home runs in 29.0 innings to LHB’s and a .282 wOBA with 5 home runs in 29.1 innings to RHB’s.

 

Greinke is 5-2 on the season with a 3.09 ERA and 6 quality starts in 9 games started. He had a 4.37 ERA in 2016 (4.81 home ERA). He strikes out 8.487 hitters per 9 innings.

 

Greinke opponent: The Chicago White Sox have the 2nd lowest projected team total at 3.92 runs.

Michael Pineda

Pitcher Team FD Salary DK Salary SIERA K% BB% Opponent Opening Line O-wOBA Opps. K% to pitcher handiness
Michael Pineda NYY $8,700 $10,500 3.25 27.90% 6.40% KC -170 0.292 21.10%

 

Pineda opens as the 3rd biggest favorite of the slate at -170 in a home game against the Kansas City Royals. The righty is striking out 27.9% of batters and in 2016 allowed a .343 wOBA with 9 home runs in 76.2 innings to LHBs and a .328 wOBA with 18 home runs in 99.0 innings to RHBs. In 2017, Pineda is allowing a .291 wOBA with 3 home runs in 21.2 innings to LHB’s and a .302 wOBA with 7 home runs in 25.2 innings to RHB’s.

 

Pineda is 4-2 on the season with a 3.42 ERA and 5 quality starts in 8 games started. He had a 4.82 ERA in 2016 (4.72 home ERA). He strikes out 10.909 hitters per 9 innings.

 

Pineda opponent: The Kansas City Royals have the overall lowest projected team total at 3.59 runs.

 

*Additional information: Pineda faced the Royals in his last start in Kansas City on May 17th, going 6.0 innings with 5 strikeouts, 2 walks issued, 3 earned runs allowed on 6 hits, and recorded a quality start and the win.

John Lackey

Pitcher Team FD Salary DK Salary SIERA K% BB% Opponent Opening Line O-wOBA Opps. K% to pitcher handiness
John Lackey CHC $8,900 $9,000 3.80 24.00% 6.90% SF -190 0.276 19.70%

 

Lackey opens as the 2nd biggest favorite of the slate at -190 in a home game against the San Francisco Giants. The righty is striking out 24.0% of batters and in 2016 allowed a .303 wOBA with 6 home runs in 76.1 innings to LHBs and a .264 wOBA with 17 home runs in 112.0 innings to RHBs. In 2017, Lackey is allowing a .333 wOBA with 5 home runs in 22.0 innings to LHB’s and a .347 wOBA with 5 home runs in 25.1 innings to RHB’s.

 

Lackey is 4-3 on the season with a 4.37 ERA and 3 quality starts in 8 games started. He had a 3.35 ERA in 2016 (2.62 home ERA). He strikes out 8.865 hitters per 9 innings.

 

Lackey opponent: The San Francisco Giants have a TBD run total as this game is being played in Wrigley and the wind will need to be factored in. If it turns out to be an extreme wind/gusts, might have to significantly downgrade Lackey even against this mostly punch less Giants.

Brad Peacock

Pitcher Team FD Salary DK Salary SIERA K% BB% Opponent Opening Line O-wOBA Opps. K% to pitcher handiness
Brad Peacock HOU $5,500 $5,700 4.11 25.90% 12.20% DET -121 0.320 22.60%

 

Peacock opens as the 5th biggest favorite of the slate at -121 in a home game against the Detroit Tigers. The righty is striking out 25.9% of batters and in 2016 allowed a .311 wOBA with 2 home runs in 14.0 innings to LHBs and a .293 wOBA with 4 home runs in 17.2 innings to RHBs. This will be the first start of 2017 for Peacock, but out of the bullpen, this season he is allowing a .199 wOBA with 0 home runs (5 walks allowed) in 7.1 innings to LHBs. And a .239 wOBA with 0 home runs (5 walks allowed) in 9.0 innings to RHBs.

 

Peacock is 2-0 on the season with a 1.10 ERA and 0 quality starts in 0 games started. He had a 3.65 ERA in 2016 (1.93 home ERA). He strikes out 9.804 hitters per 9 innings.

 

Peacock opponent: The Detroit Tigers have the 7th lowest projected team total at 4.12 runs. *Peacock is on a pitch limit, to quote the manager “as long as he can give us something”. With this being a thing, Peacock is no longer in cash consideration.

 

ALSO CONSIDER:

Gerrit Cole

Pitcher Team FD Salary DK Salary SIERA K% BB% Opponent Opening Line O-wOBA Opps. K% to pitcher handiness
Gerrit Cole PIT $9,800 $9,700 4.02 20.50% 6.50% at ATL -110 0.321 19.90%

Cole opponent: The Atlanta Braves have the 3rd lowest projected team total at 3.94 runs.*Make sure the weather is safe to roster a pitcher in this game.

Jake Odorizzi

 

Pitcher Team FD Salary DK Salary SIERA K% BB% Opponent Opening Line O-wOBA Opps. K% to pitcher handiness
Jake Odorizzi TB $8,300 $8,300 4.19 21.30% 6.70% LAA -110 0.295 20.90%

 

Odorizzi opponent: The LA Angels of Anaheim have the 3rd lowest projected team total at 3.94 runs.


 

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Willson Contreras

Willson Contreras – Hitting 7th with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Ty Blach (2nd year) in his career is allowing a .302 wOBA with 4 home runs in 34.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 25.2%, fly ball rate of 36.9%, striking out 11.4%, walking 7.1%, and allowing a 1.05 HR/9 innings to RHBs. Contreras has a 0.362 wOBA and a 0.180 ISO against LHP. The Cubs have the overall highest projected runt total at 5.88 runs.

Jason Castro

Jason Castro – Hitting 7th with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park as the away team. Opposing pitcher Ubaldo Jimenez in 2017 is allowing a .443 wOBA with 8 home runs in 15.2 innings on a hard hit rate of 40.4%, fly ball rate of 44.4%, striking out 21.6%, walking 6.8%, and allowing a 4.60 HR/9 innings to LHBs. In 2016, Jimenez allowed a .378 wOBA with 10 home runs (31 walks allowed) in 58.2 innings on a hard hit rate of 31.1%, fly ball rate of 38.2%, striking out 22.0%, walking 11.6%, and allowing a 1.53 HR/9 innings to LHBs. Castro has a 0.302 wOBA and a 0.170 ISO against RHP. The Twins have the 3rd highest projected run total at 4.60 runs.

Welington Castillo

Wellington Castillo – Hitting 6th in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Kyle Gibson (who is being recalled from Triple-A after being sent down two weeks ago after registering a 8.20 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 6 starts this season) in 2016 allowed a .327 wOBA with 11 home runs in 81.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 30.6%, fly ball rate of 30.4%, striking out 17.2%, walking 7.9%, and allowing a 1.22 HR/9 innings. In 2017, Gibson is allowing a .408 wOBA with 2 home runs (9 runs allowed) in 12.0 innings on a hard hit rate of 37.8%, fly ball rate of 20.5%, striking out 13.3%, walking 10.0%, and allowing a 1.50 HR/9 innings to RHBs. Castillo has a 0.328 wOBA and a 0.151 ISO against RHP. The Orioles have the 2nd highest projected run total at 4.90 runs.

Tony Wolters

Tony Wolters – Hitting 7th with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park as the away team. Opposing pitcher Jerad Eickhoff in 2016 allowed a .347 wOBA with 18 home runs in 102.0 innings on a hard hit rate of 30.6%, fly ball rate of 40.2%, striking out 17.2%, walking 5.8%, and allowing a 1.59 HR/9 innings to LHBs. In 2017, Eickhoff is allowing a .359 wOBA with 6 home runs (14 walks allowed) in 26.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 32.1%, fly ball rate of 50.7%, striking out 22.7%, walking 11.8%, and allowing a 2.05 HR/9 innings to LHBs. Wolters has a 0.354 wOBA and a 0.160 ISO against RHP. The Rockies have the 9th highest projected run total at 4.19 runs.

Gary Sanchez

Gary Sanchez – Hitting 2nd with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Jason Vargas in 2017 is allowing a .242 wOBA with 2 home runs in 40.0 innings on a hard hit rate of 30.5%, fly ball rate of 46.2%, striking out 25.3%, walking 5.8%, and allowing a 0.45 HR/9 innings. Sanchez has a 0.372 wOBA and a 0.328 ISO against LHP. The Yankees have the 6th highest projected run total at 4.41 runs.

Alex Avila

Alex Avila – Hitting 2nd with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park as the away team. Opposing pitcher Brad Peacock (making a start here for the injured Dallas Keuchel, he has been coming out of the bullpen all season serving as a long reliever) in 2016 allowed a .311 wOBA with 2 home runs in 14.0 innings on a hard hit rate of 30.6%, fly ball rate of 44.4%, striking out 24.6%, walking 12.3%, and allowing a 1.29 HR/9 innings to LHBs. Avila has a 0.395 wOBA and a 0.254 ISO against RHP. The Tigers have the 10th highest projected run total at 4.12 runs.

Devin Mesoraco

Devin Mesoraco – (If he makes the lineup) Hitting 7th in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Josh Tomlin (reverse splits) in 2016 allowed a .356 wOBA with 22 home runs in 97.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 31.6%, fly ball rate of 36.1%, striking out 16.9%, walking 3.1%, and allowing a 2.03 HR/9 innings to RHBs. In 2017, Tomlin is allowing a .409 wOBA with 4 home runs in 19.0 innings on a hard hit rate of 34.3%, fly ball rate of 30.3%, striking out 18.6%, walking 2.3%, and allowing a 1.89 HR/9 innings to RHBs. Mesoraco has a 0.440 wOBA and a 0.231 ISO against RHP. The Reds have the 5th highest projected run total at 4.49 runs.

Andrew Knapp

Andrew Knapp – (If he makes the lineup) Hitting 8th with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Jeff Hoffman (2nd year) in his career is allowing a .371 wOBA with 3 home runs (11 walks allowed) in 19.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 36.2%, fly ball rate of 32.8%, striking out 12.1%, walking 12.1%, and allowing a 1.37 HR/9 innings to LHBs. Knapp has a 0.356 wOBA and a 0.176 ISO against RHP. The Phillies have the 8th highest projected run total at 4.31 runs.


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Chris Davis

Chris Davis – Hitting 5th with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Kyle Gibson (who is being recalled from Triple-A after being sent down two weeks ago after registering a 8.20 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 6 starts this season) in 2016 allowed a .380 wOBA with 9 home runs in 66.0 innings on a hard hit rate of 31.5%, fly ball rate of 26.4%, striking out 14.5%, walking 9.0%, and allowing a 1.23 HR/9 innings to LHBs. In 2017, Gibson is allowing a .441 wOBA with 4 home runs (16 runs allowed) in 14.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 34.0%, fly ball rate of 41.5%, striking out 11.6%, walking 10.1%, and allowing a 2.51 HR/9 innings to LHBs. Davis has a 0.342 wOBA and a 0.264 ISO against RHP. The Orioles have the 2nd highest projected run total at 4.90 runs.

Joey Votto

Joey Votto – Hitting 3rd with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Josh Tomlin in 2017 is allowing a .305 wOBA with 2 home runs in 21.2 innings on a hard hit rate of 38.0%, fly ball rate of 22.5%, striking out 18.0%, walking 2.3%, and allowing a 0.83 HR/9 innings to LHBs. Votto has a 0.452 wOBA and a 0.279 ISO against RHP. The Reds have the 5th highest projected run total at 4.49 runs.

Paul Goldschmidt

Paul Goldschmidt – Hitting 3rd in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Miguel Gonzalez in 2017 is allowing a .330 wOBA with 3 home runs (17 runs allowed) in 27.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 30.1%, fly ball rate of 45.6%, striking out 11.0%, walking 9.3%, and allowing a 0.99 HR/9 innings to RHBs. Gonzalez in his last 2 starts ((at LA Angels, vs. San Diego Padres) has allowed 5 earned runs each start with 2 strike outs each start and walk totals of 5 and 4. Goldschmidt has a 0.383 wOBA and a 0.201 ISO against RHP. The Diamondbacks have the overall highest projected run total at 5.08 runs.

Carlos Santana

Carlos Santana – Hitting 5th with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park as the away team. Opposing pitcher Scott Feldman in 2016 allowed a .377 wOBA with 4 home runs in 28.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 17.3%, fly ball rate of 26.5%, striking out 14.6%, walking 9.5%, and allowing a 1.27 HR/9 innings to LHBs. In 2017, Feldman is allowing a .323 wOBA with 3 home runs in 22.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 32.9%, fly ball rate of 31.3%, striking out 15.1%, walking 8.6%, and allowing a 1.21 HR/ 9 innings to LHBs. Santana has a 0.359 wOBA and a 0.248 ISO against RHP. The Indians have the 4th highest projected run total at 4.51 runs.

Joe Mauer

Joe Mauer – Hitting 2nd with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park as the away team. Opposing pitcher Ubaldo Jimenez in 2017 is allowing a .443 wOBA with 8 home runs in 15.2 innings on a hard hit rate of 40.4%, fly ball rate of 44.4%, striking out 21.6%, walking 6.8%, and allowing a 4.60 HR/9 innings to LHBs. In 2016, Jimenez allowed a .378 wOBA with 10 home runs (31 walks allowed) in 58.2 innings on a hard hit rate of 31.1%, fly ball rate of 38.2%, striking out 22.0%, walking 11.6%, and allowing a 1.53 HR/9 innings to LHBs. Mauer has a 0.342 wOBA and a 0.142 ISO against RHP. The Twins have the 3rd highest projected run total at 4.60 runs.


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Jason Kipnis

Jason Kipnis – Hitting leadoff with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park as the away team. Opposing pitcher Scott Feldman in 2016 allowed a .377 wOBA with 4 home runs in 28.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 17.3%, fly ball rate of 26.5%, striking out 14.6%, walking 9.5%, and allowing a 1.27 HR/9 innings to LHBs. In 2017, Feldman is allowing a .323 wOBA with 3 home runs in 22.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 32.9%, fly ball rate of 31.3%, striking out 15.1%, walking 8.6%, and allowing a 1.21 HR/ 9 innings to LHBs. Kipnis has a 0.325 wOBA and a 0.174 ISO against RHP. The Indians have the 4th highest projected run total at 4.51 runs.

Jose Peraza

Jose Peraza – Hitting 2nd in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Josh Tomlin (reverse splits) in 2016 allowed a .356 wOBA with 22 home runs in 97.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 31.6%, fly ball rate of 36.1%, striking out 16.9%, walking 3.1%, and allowing a 2.03 HR/9 innings to RHBs. In 2017, Tomlin is allowing a .409 wOBA with 4 home runs in 19.0 innings on a hard hit rate of 34.3%, fly ball rate of 30.3%, striking out 18.6%, walking 2.3%, and allowing a 1.89 HR/9 innings to RHBs. Peraza has a 0.315 wOBA and a 0.085 ISO against RHP. The Reds have the 5th highest projected run total at 4.49 runs.

Cesar Hernandez

Cesar Hernandez – Hitting leadoff with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Jeff Hoffman (2nd year) in his career is allowing a .371 wOBA with 3 home runs (11 walks allowed) in 19.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 36.2%, fly ball rate of 32.8%, striking out 12.1%, walking 12.1%, and allowing a 1.37 HR/9 innings to LHBs. Hernandez has a 0.352 wOBA and a 0.124 ISO against RHP. The Phillies have the 8th highest projected run total at 4.31 runs.


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Jake Lamb

Jake Lamb – Hitting cleanup with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Miguel Gonzalez in 2017 is allowing a .350 wOBA with 3 home runs in 23.0 innings on a hard hit rate of 24.4%, fly ball rate of 42.9%, striking out 16.5%, walking 7.8%, and allowing a 1.17 HR/9 innings to LHBs. Gonzalez in his last 2 starts ((at LA Angels, vs. San Diego Padres) has allowed 5 earned runs each start with 2 strike outs each start and walk totals of 5 and 4. Lamb has a 0.388 wOBA and a 0.302 ISO against RHP. The Diamondbacks have the overall highest projected run total at 5.08 runs.

Kris Bryant

Kris Bryant – Hitting 3rd with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Ty Blach (2nd year) in his career is allowing a .302 wOBA with 4 home runs in 34.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 25.2%, fly ball rate of 36.9%, striking out 11.4%, walking 7.1%, and allowing a 1.05 HR/9 innings to RHBs. Bryant has a 0.482 wOBA and a 0.380 ISO against LHP. The Cubs have the overall highest projected runt total at 5.88 runs.

Manny Machado

Manny Machado – Hitting 3rd in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Kyle Gibson (who is being recalled from Triple-A after being sent down two weeks ago after registering a 8.20 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 6 starts this season) in 2016 allowed a .327 wOBA with 11 home runs in 81.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 30.6%, fly ball rate of 30.4%, striking out 17.2%, walking 7.9%, and allowing a 1.22 HR/9 innings. In 2017, Gibson is allowing a .408 wOBA with 2 home runs (9 runs allowed) in 12.0 innings on a hard hit rate of 37.8%, fly ball rate of 20.5%, striking out 13.3%, walking 10.0%, and allowing a 1.50 HR/9 innings to RHBs. Machado has a 0.331 wOBA and a 0.217 ISO against RHP. The Orioles have the 2nd highest projected run total at 4.90 runs.

Eugenio Suarez

Eugenio Suarez – Hitting 5th in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Josh Tomlin (reverse splits) in 2016 allowed a .356 wOBA with 22 home runs in 97.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 31.6%, fly ball rate of 36.1%, striking out 16.9%, walking 3.1%, and allowing a 2.03 HR/9 innings to RHBs. In 2017, Tomlin is allowing a .409 wOBA with 4 home runs in 19.0 innings on a hard hit rate of 34.3%, fly ball rate of 30.3%, striking out 18.6%, walking 2.3%, and allowing a 1.89 HR/9 innings to RHBs. Suarez has a 0.335 wOBA and a 0.162 ISO against RHP. The Reds have the 5th highest projected run total at 4.49 runs.


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Francisco Lindor

Francisco Lindor – Hitting 2nd with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park as the away team. Opposing pitcher Scott Feldman in 2016 allowed a .377 wOBA with 4 home runs in 28.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 17.3%, fly ball rate of 26.5%, striking out 14.6%, walking 9.5%, and allowing a 1.27 HR/9 innings to LHBs. In 2017, Feldman is allowing a .323 wOBA with 3 home runs in 22.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 32.9%, fly ball rate of 31.3%, striking out 15.1%, walking 8.6%, and allowing a 1.21 HR/ 9 innings to LHBs. Lindor has a 0.347 wOBA and a 0.185 ISO against RHP. The Indians have the 4th highest projected run total at 4.51 runs.

Zack Cozart

Zack Cozart – (If he’s in the lineup, had a scheduled day off Sunday, but is also supposedly dealing with a sore wrist) Hitting 2nd in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Josh Tomlin (reverse splits) in 2016 allowed a .356 wOBA with 22 home runs in 97.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 31.6%, fly ball rate of 36.1%, striking out 16.9%, walking 3.1%, and allowing a 2.03 HR/9 innings to RHBs. In 2017, Tomlin is allowing a .409 wOBA with 4 home runs in 19.0 innings on a hard hit rate of 34.3%, fly ball rate of 30.3%, striking out 18.6%, walking 2.3%, and allowing a 1.89 HR/9 innings to RHBs. Cozart has a 0.329 wOBA and a 0.160 ISO against RHP. The Reds have the 5th highest projected run total at 4.49 runs.

Addison Russell

Addison Russell – Hitting 6th with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Ty Blach (2nd year) in his career is allowing a .302 wOBA with 4 home runs in 34.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 25.2%, fly ball rate of 36.9%, striking out 11.4%, walking 7.1%, and allowing a 1.05 HR/9 innings to RHBs. Russell has a 0.335 wOBA and a 0.226 ISO against LHP. The Cubs have the overall highest projected runt total at 5.88 runs.

Freddy Galvis

Freddy Galvis – Hitting 2nd with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Jeff Hoffman (2nd year) in his career is allowing a .371 wOBA with 3 home runs (11 walks allowed) in 19.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 36.2%, fly ball rate of 32.8%, striking out 12.1%, walking 12.1%, and allowing a 1.37 HR/9 innings to LHBs. Galvis has a 0.310 wOBA and a 0.184 ISO against RHP. The Phillies have the 8th highest projected run total at 4.31 runs.


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Charlie Blackmon

Charlie Blackmon – Hitting leadoff with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park as the away team. Opposing pitcher Jerad Eickhoff in 2016 allowed a .347 wOBA with 18 home runs in 102.0 innings on a hard hit rate of 30.6%, fly ball rate of 40.2%, striking out 17.2%, walking 5.8%, and allowing a 1.59 HR/9 innings to LHBs. In 2017, Eickhoff is allowing a .359 wOBA with 6 home runs (14 walks allowed) in 26.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 32.1%, fly ball rate of 50.7%, striking out 22.7%, walking 11.8%, and allowing a 2.05 HR/9 innings to LHBs. Blackmon has a 0.416 wOBA and a 0.300 ISO against RHP. The Rockies have the 9th highest projected run total at 4.19 runs.

David Peralta

David Peralta – Hitting 2nd with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Miguel Gonzalez in 2017 is allowing a .350 wOBA with 3 home runs in 23.0 innings on a hard hit rate of 24.4%, fly ball rate of 42.9%, striking out 16.5%, walking 7.8%, and allowing a 1.17 HR/9 innings to LHBs. Gonzalez in his last 2 starts ((at LA Angels, vs. San Diego Padres) has allowed 5 earned runs each start with 2 strike outs each start and walk totals of 5 and 4. Peralta has a 0.360 wOBA and a 0.178 ISO against RHP. The Diamondbacks have the overall highest projected run total at 5.08 runs.

Adam Jones

Adam Jones – Hitting 2nd in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Kyle Gibson (who is being recalled from Triple-A after being sent down two weeks ago after registering a 8.20 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 6 starts this season) in 2016 allowed a .327 wOBA with 11 home runs in 81.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 30.6%, fly ball rate of 30.4%, striking out 17.2%, walking 7.9%, and allowing a 1.22 HR/9 innings. In 2017, Gibson is allowing a .408 wOBA with 2 home runs (9 runs allowed) in 12.0 innings on a hard hit rate of 37.8%, fly ball rate of 20.5%, striking out 13.3%, walking 10.0%, and allowing a 1.50 HR/9 innings to RHBs. Jones has a 0.343 wOBA and a 0.187 ISO against RHP. The Orioles have the 2nd highest projected run total at 4.90 runs.

Max Kepler

Max Kepler – Hitting cleanup with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park as the away team. Opposing pitcher Ubaldo Jimenez in 2017 is allowing a .443 wOBA with 8 home runs in 15.2 innings on a hard hit rate of 40.4%, fly ball rate of 44.4%, striking out 21.6%, walking 6.8%, and allowing a 4.60 HR/9 innings to LHBs. In 2016, Jimenez allowed a .378 wOBA with 10 home runs (31 walks allowed) in 58.2 innings on a hard hit rate of 31.1%, fly ball rate of 38.2%, striking out 22.0%, walking 11.6%, and allowing a 1.53 HR/9 innings to LHBs. Kepler has a 0.345 wOBA and a 0.215 ISO against RHP. The Twins have the 3rd highest projected run total at 4.60 runs.

Seth Smith

Seth Smith – Hitting leadoff with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Kyle Gibson (who is being recalled from Triple-A after being sent down two weeks ago after registering a 8.20 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 6 starts this season) in 2016 allowed a .380 wOBA with 9 home runs in 66.0 innings on a hard hit rate of 31.5%, fly ball rate of 26.4%, striking out 14.5%, walking 9.0%, and allowing a 1.23 HR/9 innings to LHBs. In 2017, Gibson is allowing a .441 wOBA with 4 home runs (16 runs allowed) in 14.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 34.0%, fly ball rate of 41.5%, striking out 11.6%, walking 10.1%, and allowing a 2.51 HR/9 innings to LHBs. Smith has a 0.346 wOBA and a 0.187 ISO against RHP. The Orioles have the 2nd highest projected run total at 4.90 runs.

Carlos Gonzalez

Carlos Gonzalez – Hitting 5th with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park as the away team. Opposing pitcher Jerad Eickhoff in 2016 allowed a .347 wOBA with 18 home runs in 102.0 innings on a hard hit rate of 30.6%, fly ball rate of 40.2%, striking out 17.2%, walking 5.8%, and allowing a 1.59 HR/9 innings to LHBs. In 2017, Eickhoff is allowing a .359 wOBA with 6 home runs (14 walks allowed) in 26.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 32.1%, fly ball rate of 50.7%, striking out 22.7%, walking 11.8%, and allowing a 2.05 HR/9 innings to LHBs. Gonzalez has a 0.348 wOBA and a 0.184 ISO against RHP. The Rockies have the 9th highest projected run total at 4.19 runs.

Michael Brantley

Michael Brantley – Hitting 3rd with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park as the away team. Opposing pitcher Scott Feldman in 2016 allowed a .377 wOBA with 4 home runs in 28.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 17.3%, fly ball rate of 26.5%, striking out 14.6%, walking 9.5%, and allowing a 1.27 HR/9 innings to LHBs. In 2017, Feldman is allowing a .323 wOBA with 3 home runs in 22.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 32.9%, fly ball rate of 31.3%, striking out 15.1%, walking 8.6%, and allowing a 1.21 HR/ 9 innings to LHBs. Brantley has a 0.395 wOBA and a 0.222 ISO against RHP. The Indians have the 4th highest projected run total at 4.51 runs.

Gregor Blanco

Gregor Blanco – Hitting leadoff with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Miguel Gonzalez in 2017 is allowing a .350 wOBA with 3 home runs in 23.0 innings on a hard hit rate of 24.4%, fly ball rate of 42.9%, striking out 16.5%, walking 7.8%, and allowing a 1.17 HR/9 innings to LHBs. Gonzalez in his last 2 starts ((at LA Angels, vs. San Diego Padres) has allowed 5 earned runs each start with 2 strike outs each start and walk totals of 5 and 4. Blanco has a 0.277 wOBA and a 0.077 ISO against RHP. The Diamondbacks have the overall highest projected run total at 5.08 runs.

Mark Trumbo

Mark Trumbo – Hitting 5th in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Kyle Gibson (who is being recalled from Triple-A after being sent down two weeks ago after registering a 8.20 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 6 starts this season) in 2016 allowed a .327 wOBA with 11 home runs in 81.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 30.6%, fly ball rate of 30.4%, striking out 17.2%, walking 7.9%, and allowing a 1.22 HR/9 innings. In 2017, Gibson is allowing a .408 wOBA with 2 home runs (9 runs allowed) in 12.0 innings on a hard hit rate of 37.8%, fly ball rate of 20.5%, striking out 13.3%, walking 10.0%, and allowing a 1.50 HR/9 innings to RHBs. Trumbo has a 0.357 wOBA and a 0.267 ISO against RHP. The Orioles have the 2nd highest projected run total at 4.90 runs.

Adam Duvall

Adam Duvall – Hitting cleanup in a hitter’s park. Opposing pitcher Josh Tomlin (reverse splits) in 2016 allowed a .356 wOBA with 22 home runs in 97.1 innings on a hard hit rate of 31.6%, fly ball rate of 36.1%, striking out 16.9%, walking 3.1%, and allowing a 2.03 HR/9 innings to RHBs. In 2017, Tomlin is allowing a .409 wOBA with 4 home runs in 19.0 innings on a hard hit rate of 34.3%, fly ball rate of 30.3%, striking out 18.6%, walking 2.3%, and allowing a 1.89 HR/9 innings to RHBs. Duvall has a 0.314 wOBA and a 0.231 ISO against RHP. The Reds have the 5th highest projected run total at 4.49 runs.

Adam Frazier

Adam Frazier – Hitting leadoff with the platoon advantage in a hitter’s park as the away team. Opposing pitcher Mike Foltynewicz in 2017 is allowing a .351 wOBA with 3 home runs in 17.2 innings on a hard hit rate of 31.6%, fly ball rate of 42.1%, striking out 17.5%, walking 10.0%, and allowing a 1.53 HR/9 innings to LHBs. Frazier has a 0.336 wOBA and a 0.132 ISO against RHP. The Pirates have the 12th highest projected run total at 4.06 runs.


 

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Chicago Cubs – 2B Ian Happ NOT in lineup
Detroit Tigers – OF Justin Upton NOT in lineup.
Arizona Diamondbacks – OF Yasmany Tomas NOT in lineup
Arizona Diamondbacks – 2B Brandon Drury NOT in lineup
San Francisco Giants – OF Denard Span NOT in lineup
Colorado Rockies – OF Ian Desmond NOT in lineup
Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros – Minute Maid Park will close roof Monday.

Brittinghamt is a MLB, NFL, and NBA Pro Analyst on RotoRadar.net.Thank you for being a member of RotoRadar and taking the time to read this article.

He can be found on Twitter @brittinghamt

In addition to the expressed personal views on the games and strategies, brittinghamt may deploy different players and strategies than what is recommended in the above.Good Night & Good Skill.RotoRadarNewLogo